Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction

Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction
Author: Haraldur Olafsson,Jian-Wen Bao
Publsiher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 364
Release: 2020-12-08
ISBN 10: 0128157100
ISBN 13: 9780128157107
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction Book Review:

Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction is a comprehensive work on the most current understandings of uncertainties and predictability in numerical simulations of the atmosphere. It provides general knowledge on all aspects of uncertainties in the weather prediction models in a single, easy to use reference. The book illustrates particular uncertainties in observations and data assimilation, as well as the errors associated with numerical integration methods. Stochastic methods in parameterization of subgrid processes are also assessed, as are uncertainties associated with surface-atmosphere exchange, orographic flows and processes in the atmospheric boundary layer. Through a better understanding of the uncertainties to watch for, readers will be able to produce more precise and accurate forecasts. This is an essential work for anyone who wants to improve the accuracy of weather and climate forecasting and interested parties developing tools to enhance the quality of such forecasts. Provides a comprehensive overview of the state of numerical weather prediction at spatial scales, from hundreds of meters, to thousands of kilometers Focuses on short-term 1-15 day atmospheric predictions, with some coverage appropriate for longer-term forecasts Includes references to climate prediction models to allow applications of these techniques for climate simulations

Parametric Uncertainty in Numerical Weather Prediction Models

Parametric Uncertainty in Numerical Weather Prediction Models
Author: Pirkka Ollinaho
Publsiher: Unknown
Total Pages: 329
Release: 2014
ISBN 10: 9789516978232
ISBN 13: 9516978231
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Parametric Uncertainty in Numerical Weather Prediction Models Book Review:

A Case Study of the Persistence of Weather Forecast Model Errors

A Case Study of the Persistence of Weather Forecast Model Errors
Author: Anonim
Publsiher: Unknown
Total Pages: 40
Release: 2005
ISBN 10:
ISBN 13: OCLC:64435321
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

A Case Study of the Persistence of Weather Forecast Model Errors Book Review:

Decision makers could frequently benefit from information about the amount of uncertainty associated with a specific weather forecast. Automated numerical weather prediction models provide deterministic weather forecast values with no estimate of the likely error. This case study examines the day-to-day persistence of forecast errors of basic surface weather parameters for four sites in northern Utah. Although exceptionally low or high forecast errors on one day are more likely to be associated with a similar quality forecast the following day, the relationship is not considered strong enough to provide beneficial guidance to users without meteorological expertise. Days resulting in average forecast errors showed no persistence in the quality of the subsequent day's forecast. More sophisticated methods are needed to generate and portray weather forecast uncertainty information.

Monthly Weather Review

Monthly Weather Review
Author: Anonim
Publsiher: Unknown
Total Pages: 329
Release: 2006
ISBN 10:
ISBN 13: UIUC:30112081633734
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Monthly Weather Review Book Review:

Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction

Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction
Author: Thomas Tomkins Warner
Publsiher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 329
Release: 2010-12-02
ISBN 10: 1139494317
ISBN 13: 9781139494311
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction Book Review:

This textbook provides a comprehensive yet accessible treatment of weather and climate prediction, for graduate students, researchers and professionals. It teaches the strengths, weaknesses and best practices for the use of atmospheric models. It is ideal for the many scientists who use such models across a wide variety of applications. The book describes the different numerical methods, data assimilation, ensemble methods, predictability, land-surface modeling, climate modeling and downscaling, computational fluid-dynamics models, experimental designs in model-based research, verification methods, operational prediction, and special applications such as air-quality modeling and flood prediction. This volume will satisfy everyone who needs to know about atmospheric modeling for use in research or operations. It is ideal both as a textbook for a course on weather and climate prediction and as a reference text for researchers and professionals from a range of backgrounds: atmospheric science, meteorology, climatology, environmental science, geography, and geophysical fluid mechanics/dynamics.

Predictability of Weather and Climate

Predictability of Weather and Climate
Author: Tim Palmer,Renate Hagedorn
Publsiher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 329
Release: 2006-07-27
ISBN 10: 1139458205
ISBN 13: 9781139458207
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Predictability of Weather and Climate Book Review:

The topic of predictability in weather and climate has advanced significantly in recent years, both in understanding the phenomena that affect weather and climate and in techniques used to model and forecast them. This book, first published in 2006, brings together some of the world's leading experts on predicting weather and climate. It addresses predictability from the theoretical to the practical, on timescales from days to decades. Topics such as the predictability of weather phenomena, coupled ocean-atmosphere systems and anthropogenic climate change are among those included. Ensemble systems for forecasting predictability are discussed extensively. Ed Lorenz, father of chaos theory, makes a contribution to theoretical analysis with a previously unpublished paper. This well-balanced volume will be a valuable resource for many years. High-calibre chapter authors and extensive subject coverage make it valuable to people with an interest in weather and climate forecasting and environmental science, from graduate students to researchers.

Practical Meteorology

Practical Meteorology
Author: Roland Stull
Publsiher: Sundog Publishing, LLC
Total Pages: 942
Release: 2018
ISBN 10: 9780888652836
ISBN 13: 0888652836
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Practical Meteorology Book Review:

A quantitative introduction to atmospheric science for students and professionals who want to understand and apply basic meteorological concepts but who are not ready for calculus.

Climate Change and Regional Local Responses

Climate Change and Regional Local Responses
Author: Pallav Ray,Yuanzhi Zhang
Publsiher: BoD – Books on Demand
Total Pages: 258
Release: 2013-05-22
ISBN 10: 9535111329
ISBN 13: 9789535111320
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Climate Change and Regional Local Responses Book Review:

Understanding climate change requires analysis of its effects in specific contexts, and the case studies in this volume offer examples of such issues. Its chapters cover tropical cyclones in East Asia, study of a fossil in Brazils Araripe Basin and the fractal nature of band-thickness in an iron formation of Canadas Northwest Territories. One chapter examines the presence of trace elements and palynomorphs in the sediments of a tropical urban pond. Examples of technologies used include RS- GIS to map lineaments for groundwater targeting and sustainable water-resource management, the ALADIN numerical weather-prediction model used to forecast weather and use of grids in numerical weather and climate models. Finally, one chapter models sea level rises resulting from ice sheets melting.

Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts

Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts
Author: Richard W. Katz,Allan H. Murphy
Publsiher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 240
Release: 2005-09-08
ISBN 10: 9780521435710
ISBN 13: 0521435714
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts Book Review:

Weather and climate extremes can significantly impact the economics of a region. This book examines how weather and climate forecasts can be used to mitigate the impact of the weather on the economy. Interdisciplinary in scope, it explores the meteorological, economic, psychological, and statistical aspects to weather prediction. The contributors encompass forecasts over a wide range of temporal scales, from weather over the next few hours to the climate months or seasons ahead, and address the impact of these forecasts on human behaviour. Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts seeks to determine the economic benefits of existing weather forecasting systems and the incremental benefits of improving these systems, and will be an interesting and essential reference for economists, statisticians, and meteorologists.

Computational Science ICCS 2019

Computational Science     ICCS 2019
Author: João M. F. Rodrigues,Pedro J. S. Cardoso,Jânio Monteiro,Roberto Lam,Valeria V. Krzhizhanovskaya,Michael H. Lees,Jack J. Dongarra,Peter M.A. Sloot
Publsiher: Springer
Total Pages: 663
Release: 2019-06-07
ISBN 10: 3030227472
ISBN 13: 9783030227470
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Computational Science ICCS 2019 Book Review:

The five-volume set LNCS 11536, 11537, 11538, 11539 and 11540 constitutes the proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Computational Science, ICCS 2019, held in Faro, Portugal, in June 2019. The total of 65 full papers and 168 workshop papers presented in this book set were carefully reviewed and selected from 573 submissions (228 submissions to the main track and 345 submissions to the workshops). The papers were organized in topical sections named: Part I: ICCS Main Track Part II: ICCS Main Track; Track of Advances in High-Performance Computational Earth Sciences: Applications and Frameworks; Track of Agent-Based Simulations, Adaptive Algorithms and Solvers; Track of Applications of Matrix Methods in Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning; Track of Architecture, Languages, Compilation and Hardware Support for Emerging and Heterogeneous Systems Part III: Track of Biomedical and Bioinformatics Challenges for Computer Science; Track of Classifier Learning from Difficult Data; Track of Computational Finance and Business Intelligence; Track of Computational Optimization, Modelling and Simulation; Track of Computational Science in IoT and Smart Systems Part IV: Track of Data-Driven Computational Sciences; Track of Machine Learning and Data Assimilation for Dynamical Systems; Track of Marine Computing in the Interconnected World for the Benefit of the Society; Track of Multiscale Modelling and Simulation; Track of Simulations of Flow and Transport: Modeling, Algorithms and Computation Part V: Track of Smart Systems: Computer Vision, Sensor Networks and Machine Learning; Track of Solving Problems with Uncertainties; Track of Teaching Computational Science; Poster Track ICCS 2019 Chapter “Comparing Domain-decomposition Methods for the Parallelization of Distributed Land Surface Models” is available open access under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License via link.springer.com.

Weather Climate Services for the Energy Industry

Weather   Climate Services for the Energy Industry
Author: Alberto Troccoli
Publsiher: Springer
Total Pages: 197
Release: 2018-01-03
ISBN 10: 3319684183
ISBN 13: 9783319684185
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Weather Climate Services for the Energy Industry Book Review:

This open access book showcases the burgeoning area of applied research at the intersection between weather and climate science and the energy industry. It illustrates how better communication between science and industry can help both sides. By opening a dialogue, scientists can understand the broader context for their work and the energy industry is able to keep track of and implement the latest scientific advances for more efficient and sustainable energy systems. Weather & Climate Services for the Energy Industry considers the lessons learned in establishing an ongoing discussion between the energy industry and the meteorological community and how its principles and practises can be applied elsewhere. This book will be a useful guiding resource for research and early career practitioners concerned with the energy industry and the new field of research known as energy meteorology.

Numerical Weather Prediction Activities

Numerical Weather Prediction Activities
Author: National Meteorological Center (U.S.)
Publsiher: Unknown
Total Pages: 329
Release: 1970
ISBN 10:
ISBN 13: UOM:39015047429454
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Numerical Weather Prediction Activities Book Review:

Operational Weather Forecasting

Operational Weather Forecasting
Author: Peter Michael Inness,Steve Dorling
Publsiher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 248
Release: 2012-12-06
ISBN 10: 1118447638
ISBN 13: 9781118447635
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Operational Weather Forecasting Book Review:

This book offers a complete primer, covering the end-to-endprocess of forecast production, and bringing together a descriptionof all the relevant aspects together in a single volume; withplenty of explanation of some of the more complex issues andexamples of current, state-of-the-art practices. Operational Weather Forecasting covers the whole processof forecast production, from understanding the nature of theforecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which toinitialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (ormodels) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time andthen interpreting the model output and putting it into a form whichis relevant to customers of weather forecasts. Included is thegeneration of forecasts on the monthly-to-seasonal timescales,often excluded in text-books despite this type of forecastinghaving been undertaken for several years. This is a rapidly developing field, with a lot of variations inpractices between different forecasting centres. Thus theauthors have tried to be as generic as possible when describingaspects of numerical model design and formulation. Despitethe reliance on NWP, the human forecaster still has a big part toplay in producing weather forecasts and this is described, alongwith the issue of forecast verification – how forecastcentres measure their own performance and improve upon it. Advanced undergraduates and postgraduate students will use thisbook to understand how the theory comes together in the day-to-dayapplications of weather forecast production. In addition,professional weather forecasting practitioners, professional usersof weather forecasts and trainers will all find this new member ofthe RMetS Advancing Weather and Climate series avaluable tool. Provides an end-to-end description of the weather forecastingprocess Clearly structured and pitched at an accessible level, the bookdiscusses the practical choices that operational forecastingcentres have to make in terms of what numerical models they use andwhen they are run. Takes a very practical approach, using real life case-studiesto contextualize information Discusses the latest advances in the area, including ensemblemethods, monthly to seasonal range prediction and use of‘nowcasting’ tools such as radar and satelliteimagery Full colour throughout Written by a highly respected team of authors with experiencein both academia and practice. Part of the RMetS book series ‘Advancing Weather andClimate’

Completing the Forecast

Completing the Forecast
Author: National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,Committee on Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty in Weather and Climate Forecasts
Publsiher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 124
Release: 2006-11-09
ISBN 10: 0309102553
ISBN 13: 9780309102551
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Completing the Forecast Book Review:

Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration’s National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.

Monsoon Dynamics

Monsoon Dynamics
Author: Sir James Lighthill
Publsiher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 735
Release: 1981-03-19
ISBN 10: 9780521224970
ISBN 13: 0521224977
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Monsoon Dynamics Book Review:

This volume presents a survey of our state of knowledge of the physical and dynamical processes involved in the Asian monsoon. Although traditionally the main emphasis has been on the study of the atmospheric component, it has long been known that the oceans play a vitally important part in determining the occurrence of this spectacular seasonal event. A scientific study of this phenomenon involves a detailed investigation of the dynamical processes which occur in both the atmosphere and the ocean, on timescales on up to at least a year and on spatial scales from a few hundred kilometres or so up to that of the global atmospheric and oceanic circulations. The editors present a coherent survey of each of the meteorological, oceanographic and hydrological aspects and of their implications for weather forecasting and flood prediction. Monsoon Dynamics is a timely survey of a dramatic meteorological phenomenon which will interest meteorologists, climatologists and geophysicists.

Fundamentals of Numerical Weather Prediction

Fundamentals of Numerical Weather Prediction
Author: Jean Coiffier
Publsiher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 329
Release: 2011-12-01
ISBN 10: 1139502700
ISBN 13: 9781139502702
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Fundamentals of Numerical Weather Prediction Book Review:

Numerical models have become essential tools in environmental science, particularly in weather forecasting and climate prediction. This book provides a comprehensive overview of the techniques used in these fields, with emphasis on the design of the most recent numerical models of the atmosphere. It presents a short history of numerical weather prediction and its evolution, before describing the various model equations and how to solve them numerically. It outlines the main elements of a meteorological forecast suite, and the theory is illustrated throughout with practical examples of operational models and parameterizations of physical processes. This book is founded on the author's many years of experience, as a scientist at Météo-France and teaching university-level courses. It is a practical and accessible textbook for graduate courses and a handy resource for researchers and professionals in atmospheric physics, meteorology and climatology, as well as the related disciplines of fluid dynamics, hydrology and oceanography.

Completing the Forecast

Completing the Forecast
Author: National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,Committee on Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty in Weather and Climate Forecasts
Publsiher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 124
Release: 2006-10-09
ISBN 10: 9780309180535
ISBN 13: 0309180538
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Completing the Forecast Book Review:

Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration’s National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.

Weather Forecasting Atmospheric Ozone

Weather Forecasting   Atmospheric Ozone
Author: Anonim
Publsiher: Unknown
Total Pages: 41
Release: 1977
ISBN 10:
ISBN 13: CHI:82109175
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Weather Forecasting Atmospheric Ozone Book Review:

Precipitation Advances in Measurement Estimation and Prediction

Precipitation  Advances in Measurement  Estimation and Prediction
Author: Silas C. Michaelides
Publsiher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 540
Release: 2008-02-27
ISBN 10: 9783540776550
ISBN 13: 3540776559
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Precipitation Advances in Measurement Estimation and Prediction Book Review:

This volume is the outcome of contributions from 51 scientists who were invited to expose their latest findings on precipitation research and in particular, on the measurement, estimation and prediction of precipitation. The reader is presented with a blend of theoretical, mathematical and technical treatise of precipitation science but also with authentic applications, ranging from local field experiments and country-scale campaigns to multinational space endeavors.

Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis Volume II

Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis  Volume II
Author: Dan G. Cacuci,Mihaela Ionescu-Bujor,Ionel Michael Navon
Publsiher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 368
Release: 2005-05-16
ISBN 10: 9780203483572
ISBN 13: 020348357X
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis Volume II Book Review:

As computer-assisted modeling and analysis of physical processes have continued to grow and diversify, sensitivity and uncertainty analyses have become indispensable scientific tools. Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis. Volume I: Theory focused on the mathematical underpinnings of two important methods for such analyses: the Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Procedure and the Global Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Procedure. This volume concentrates on the practical aspects of performing these analyses for large-scale systems. The applications addressed include two-phase flow problems, a radiative convective model for climate simulations, and large-scale models for numerical weather prediction.