Advances in Weather and Climate Forecast Verification

Advances in Weather and Climate Forecast Verification
Author: Eric Gilleland,Barbara G. Brown
Publsiher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 308
Release: 2022-02-15
ISBN 10: 9780128138533
ISBN 13: 012813853X
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Advances in Weather and Climate Forecast Verification Book Review:

Advances in Weather and Climate Forecast Verification is a resource for researchers and practitioners who are applying traditional and new methods of forecast evaluation. It offers information that will make it possible for researchers and others to apply the newest forecast methods; rather than searching for information in each individual method, providing the information needed to apply all of the techniques in one place. Selection of the appropriate method to apply to a particular problem is facilitated by comparisons of the methods and their results, which will be included in the book. With these skills in hand, readers can make improvements in both their modelling and the evaluation of the results. A single resource on forecast evaluation reviewing both traditional and the newest techniques Summarizes information, including terminology and methodologies, in a clear and accessible way Appropriate for new and experienced practitioners, as well as producers and users of forecasts it allows readers to understand evaluation and interpretation used when choosing a model Demonstrates techniques for forecasting and modeling extreme weather, to produce better quality model outputs when the sample size is not large

Operational Weather Forecasting

Operational Weather Forecasting
Author: Peter Michael Inness,Steve Dorling
Publsiher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 248
Release: 2012-12-06
ISBN 10: 1118447638
ISBN 13: 9781118447635
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Operational Weather Forecasting Book Review:

This book offers a complete primer, covering the end-to-endprocess of forecast production, and bringing together a descriptionof all the relevant aspects together in a single volume; withplenty of explanation of some of the more complex issues andexamples of current, state-of-the-art practices. Operational Weather Forecasting covers the whole processof forecast production, from understanding the nature of theforecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which toinitialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (ormodels) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time andthen interpreting the model output and putting it into a form whichis relevant to customers of weather forecasts. Included is thegeneration of forecasts on the monthly-to-seasonal timescales,often excluded in text-books despite this type of forecastinghaving been undertaken for several years. This is a rapidly developing field, with a lot of variations inpractices between different forecasting centres. Thus theauthors have tried to be as generic as possible when describingaspects of numerical model design and formulation. Despitethe reliance on NWP, the human forecaster still has a big part toplay in producing weather forecasts and this is described, alongwith the issue of forecast verification – how forecastcentres measure their own performance and improve upon it. Advanced undergraduates and postgraduate students will use thisbook to understand how the theory comes together in the day-to-dayapplications of weather forecast production. In addition,professional weather forecasting practitioners, professional usersof weather forecasts and trainers will all find this new member ofthe RMetS Advancing Weather and Climate series avaluable tool. Provides an end-to-end description of the weather forecastingprocess Clearly structured and pitched at an accessible level, the bookdiscusses the practical choices that operational forecastingcentres have to make in terms of what numerical models they use andwhen they are run. Takes a very practical approach, using real life case-studiesto contextualize information Discusses the latest advances in the area, including ensemblemethods, monthly to seasonal range prediction and use of‘nowcasting’ tools such as radar and satelliteimagery Full colour throughout Written by a highly respected team of authors with experiencein both academia and practice. Part of the RMetS book series ‘Advancing Weather andClimate’

Forecast Verification

Forecast Verification
Author: Ian T. Jolliffe,David B. Stephenson
Publsiher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 254
Release: 2003-08-01
ISBN 10: 0470864419
ISBN 13: 9780470864418
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Forecast Verification Book Review:

This handy reference introduces the subject of forecast verification and provides a review of the basic concepts, discussing different types of data that may be forecast. Each chapter covers a different type of predicted quantity (predictand), then looks at some of the relationships between economic value and skill scores, before moving on to review the key concepts and summarise aspects of forecast verification that receive the most attention in other disciplines. The book concludes with a discussion on the most important topics in the field that are the subject of current research or that would benefit from future research. An easy to read guide of current techniques with real life case studies An up-to-date and practical introduction to the different techniques and an examination of their strengths and weaknesses Practical advice given by some of the world?s leading forecasting experts Case studies and illustrations of actual verification and its interpretation Comprehensive glossary and consistent statistical and mathematical definition of commonly used terms

Predictability of Weather and Climate

Predictability of Weather and Climate
Author: Tim Palmer,Renate Hagedorn
Publsiher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 135
Release: 2006-07-27
ISBN 10: 1139458205
ISBN 13: 9781139458207
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Predictability of Weather and Climate Book Review:

The topic of predictability in weather and climate has advanced significantly in recent years, both in understanding the phenomena that affect weather and climate and in techniques used to model and forecast them. This book, first published in 2006, brings together some of the world's leading experts on predicting weather and climate. It addresses predictability from the theoretical to the practical, on timescales from days to decades. Topics such as the predictability of weather phenomena, coupled ocean-atmosphere systems and anthropogenic climate change are among those included. Ensemble systems for forecasting predictability are discussed extensively. Ed Lorenz, father of chaos theory, makes a contribution to theoretical analysis with a previously unpublished paper. This well-balanced volume will be a valuable resource for many years. High-calibre chapter authors and extensive subject coverage make it valuable to people with an interest in weather and climate forecasting and environmental science, from graduate students to researchers.

When Weather Matters

When Weather Matters
Author: National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,Committee on Progress and Priorities of U.S. Weather Research and Research-to-Operations Activities
Publsiher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 198
Release: 2010-11-09
ISBN 10: 9780309177023
ISBN 13: 0309177022
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

When Weather Matters Book Review:

The past 15 years have seen marked progress in observing, understanding, and predicting weather. At the same time, the United States has failed to match or surpass progress in operational numerical weather prediction achieved by other nations and failed to realize its prediction potential; as a result, the nation is not mitigating weather impacts to the extent possible. This book represents a sense of the weather community as guided by the discussions of a Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate community workshop held in summer 2009. The book puts forth the committee's judgment on the most pressing high level, weather-focused research challenges and research to operations needs, and makes corresponding recommendations. The book addresses issues including observations, global non-hydrostatic coupled modeling, data assimilation, probabilistic forecasting, and quantitative precipitation and hydrologic forecasting. The book also identifies three important, emerging issues--predictions of very high impact weather, urban meteorology, and renewable energy development--not recognized or emphasized in previous studies. Cutting across all of these challenges is a set of socioeconomic issues, whose importance and emphasis--while increasing--has been undervalued and underemphasized in the past and warrants greater recognition and priority today.

Sub seasonal to Seasonal Prediction

Sub seasonal to Seasonal Prediction
Author: Andrew Robertson,Frederic Vitart
Publsiher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 585
Release: 2018-10-19
ISBN 10: 012811715X
ISBN 13: 9780128117156
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Sub seasonal to Seasonal Prediction Book Review:

The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting: Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction is an ideal reference for researchers and practitioners across the range of disciplines involved in the science, modeling, forecasting and application of this new frontier in sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) prediction. It provides an accessible, yet rigorous, introduction to the scientific principles and sources of predictability through the unique challenges of numerical simulation and forecasting with state-of-science modeling codes and supercomputers. Additional coverage includes the prospects for developing applications to trigger early action decisions to lessen weather catastrophes, minimize costly damage, and optimize operator decisions. The book consists of a set of contributed chapters solicited from experts and leaders in the fields of S2S predictability science, numerical modeling, operational forecasting, and developing application sectors. The introduction and conclusion, written by the co-editors, provides historical perspective, unique synthesis and prospects, and emerging opportunities in this exciting, complex and interdisciplinary field. Contains contributed chapters from leaders and experts in sub-seasonal to seasonal science, forecasting and applications Provides a one-stop shop for graduate students, academic and applied researchers, and practitioners in an emerging and interdisciplinary field Offers a synthesis of the state of S2S science through the use of concrete examples, enabling potential users of S2S forecasts to quickly grasp the potential for application in their own decision-making Includes a broad set of topics, illustrated with graphic examples, that highlight interdisciplinary linkages

Handbook of Climate Services

Handbook of Climate Services
Author: Walter Leal Filho,Daniela Jacob
Publsiher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 519
Release: 2020-01-17
ISBN 10: 3030368750
ISBN 13: 9783030368753
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Handbook of Climate Services Book Review:

This book explores climate services, including projections, descriptive information, analyses, assessments, and an overview of current trends. Due to the pressures now being put on the world’s climate, it is vital to gather and share reliable climate observation and projection data, which may be tailored for use by different groups. In other words, it is essential to offer climate services. But despite the growth in the use of these services, there are very few specialist publications on this topic. This book addresses that need. Apart from presenting studies and the results of research projects, the book also offers an overview of the wide range of means available for providing and using climate services. In addition, it features case studies that provide illustrative and inspiring examples of how climate services can be optimally deployed.

Precipitation Advances in Measurement Estimation and Prediction

Precipitation  Advances in Measurement  Estimation and Prediction
Author: Silas C. Michaelides
Publsiher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 540
Release: 2008-02-27
ISBN 10: 3540776559
ISBN 13: 9783540776550
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Precipitation Advances in Measurement Estimation and Prediction Book Review:

This volume is the outcome of contributions from 51 scientists who were invited to expose their latest findings on precipitation research and in particular, on the measurement, estimation and prediction of precipitation. The reader is presented with a blend of theoretical, mathematical and technical treatise of precipitation science but also with authentic applications, ranging from local field experiments and country-scale campaigns to multinational space endeavors.

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts
Author: Stéphane Vannitsem,Daniel S. Wilks,Jakob Messner
Publsiher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 362
Release: 2018-05-17
ISBN 10: 012812248X
ISBN 13: 9780128122488
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts Book Review:

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts brings together chapters contributed by international subject-matter experts describing the current state of the art in the statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts. The book illustrates the use of these methods in several important applications including weather, hydrological and climate forecasts, and renewable energy forecasting. After an introductory section on ensemble forecasts and prediction systems, the second section of the book is devoted to exposition of the methods available for statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts: univariate and multivariate ensemble postprocessing are first reviewed by Wilks (Chapters 3), then Schefzik and Möller (Chapter 4), and the more specialized perspective necessary for postprocessing forecasts for extremes is presented by Friederichs, Wahl, and Buschow (Chapter 5). The second section concludes with a discussion of forecast verification methods devised specifically for evaluation of ensemble forecasts (Chapter 6 by Thorarinsdottir and Schuhen). The third section of this book is devoted to applications of ensemble postprocessing. Practical aspects of ensemble postprocessing are first detailed in Chapter 7 (Hamill), including an extended and illustrative case study. Chapters 8 (Hemri), 9 (Pinson and Messner), and 10 (Van Schaeybroeck and Vannitsem) discuss ensemble postprocessing specifically for hydrological applications, postprocessing in support of renewable energy applications, and postprocessing of long-range forecasts from months to decades. Finally, Chapter 11 (Messner) provides a guide to the ensemble-postprocessing software available in the R programming language, which should greatly help readers implement many of the ideas presented in this book. Edited by three experts with strong and complementary expertise in statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts, this book assesses the new and rapidly developing field of ensemble forecast postprocessing as an extension of the use of statistical corrections to traditional deterministic forecasts. Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts is an essential resource for researchers, operational practitioners, and students in weather, seasonal, and climate forecasting, as well as users of such forecasts in fields involving renewable energy, conventional energy, hydrology, environmental engineering, and agriculture. Consolidates, for the first time, the methodologies and applications of ensemble forecasts in one succinct place Provides real-world examples of methods used to formulate forecasts Presents the tools needed to make the best use of multiple model forecasts in a timely and efficient manner

Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts

Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts
Author: Richard W. Katz,Allan H. Murphy
Publsiher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 240
Release: 2005-09-08
ISBN 10: 9780521435710
ISBN 13: 0521435714
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts Book Review:

Weather and climate extremes can significantly impact the economics of a region. This book examines how weather and climate forecasts can be used to mitigate the impact of the weather on the economy. Interdisciplinary in scope, it explores the meteorological, economic, psychological, and statistical aspects to weather prediction. The contributors encompass forecasts over a wide range of temporal scales, from weather over the next few hours to the climate months or seasons ahead, and address the impact of these forecasts on human behaviour. Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts seeks to determine the economic benefits of existing weather forecasting systems and the incremental benefits of improving these systems, and will be an interesting and essential reference for economists, statisticians, and meteorologists.

Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability

Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability
Author: National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,Committee on Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability
Publsiher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 192
Release: 2010-09-08
ISBN 10: 9780309161343
ISBN 13: 0309161347
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability Book Review:

More accurate forecasts of climate conditions over time periods of weeks to a few years could help people plan agricultural activities, mitigate drought, and manage energy resources, amongst other activities; however, current forecast systems have limited ability on these time- scales. Models for such climate forecasts must take into account complex interactions among the ocean, atmosphere, and land surface. Such processes can be difficult to represent realistically. To improve the quality of forecasts, this book makes recommendations about the development of the tools used in forecasting and about specific research goals for improving understanding of sources of predictability. To improve the accessibility of these forecasts to decision-makers and researchers, this book also suggests best practices to improve how forecasts are made and disseminated.

Research Progress and Plans of the U S Weather Bureau

Research Progress and Plans  of the U S  Weather Bureau
Author: United States. Weather Bureau
Publsiher: Unknown
Total Pages: 135
Release: 1965
ISBN 10: 1928374650XXX
ISBN 13: MINN:30000010380875
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Research Progress and Plans of the U S Weather Bureau Book Review:

Advanced GNSS Tropospheric Products for Monitoring Severe Weather Events and Climate

Advanced GNSS Tropospheric Products for Monitoring Severe Weather Events and Climate
Author: Jonathan Jones,Guergana Guerova,Jan Douša,Galina Dick,Siebren de Haan,Eric Pottiaux,Olivier Bock,Rosa Pacione,Roeland van Malderen
Publsiher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 563
Release: 2019-09-16
ISBN 10: 3030139018
ISBN 13: 9783030139018
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Advanced GNSS Tropospheric Products for Monitoring Severe Weather Events and Climate Book Review:

The book (COST Action Final report) summarises the proceedings from COST Action ES1206. COST Action ES1206, Advanced GNSS Tropospheric Products for Severe Weather Events and Climate (GNSS4SWEC), was a 4-year project, running from 2013 to 2017, which coordinated new and improved capabilities from concurrent developments in GNSS, meteorological and climate communities. For the first time, the synergy of multi-GNSS constellations was used to develop new, more advanced tropospheric products, exploiting the full potential of multi-GNSS on a wide range of temporal and spatial scales - from real-time products monitoring and forecasting severe weather, to the highest quality post-processed products suitable for climate research. The Action also promoted the use of meteorological data as an input to real-time GNSS positioning, navigation, and timing services and has stimulated knowledge and data transfer throughout Europe and beyond.

Research Progress and Plans

Research Progress and Plans
Author: United States. Weather Bureau
Publsiher: Unknown
Total Pages: 135
Release: 1959
ISBN 10: 1928374650XXX
ISBN 13: UCAL:B3878445
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Research Progress and Plans Book Review:

Forecast Verification

Forecast Verification
Author: Ian T. Jolliffe,David B. Stephenson
Publsiher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 288
Release: 2012-01-25
ISBN 10: 1119961076
ISBN 13: 9781119961079
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Forecast Verification Book Review:

Forecast Verification: A Practioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, 2nd Edition provides an indispensible guide to this area of active research by combining depth of information with a range of topics to appeal both to professional practitioners and researchers and postgraduates. The editors have succeeded in presenting chapters by a variety of the leading experts in the field while still retaining a cohesive and highly accessible style. The book balances explanations of concepts with clear and useful discussion of the main application areas. Reviews of first edition: "This book will provide a good reference, and I recommend it especially for developers and evaluators of statistical forecast systems." (Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society; April 2004) "...a good mixture of theory and practical applications...well organized and clearly written..." (Royal Statistical Society, Vol.168, No.1, January 2005) NEW to the second edition: Completely updated chapter on the Verification of Spatial Forecasts taking account of the wealth of new research in the area New separate chapters on Probability Forecasts and Ensemble Forecasts Includes new chapter on Forecasts of Extreme Events and Warnings Includes new chapter on Seasonal and Climate Forecasts Includes new Appendix on Verification Software Cover image credit: The triangle of barplots shows a novel use of colour for visualizing probability forecasts of ternary categories – see Fig 6b of Jupp et al. 2011, On the visualisation, verification and recalibration of ternary probabilistic forecasts, Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. (in press).

Completing the Forecast

Completing the Forecast
Author: National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,Committee on Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty in Weather and Climate Forecasts
Publsiher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 124
Release: 2006-10-09
ISBN 10: 9780309180535
ISBN 13: 0309180538
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Completing the Forecast Book Review:

Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration’s National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.

Monthly Weather Review

Monthly Weather Review
Author: Anonim
Publsiher: Unknown
Total Pages: 135
Release: 1986
ISBN 10: 1928374650XXX
ISBN 13: UFL:31262048400013
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Monthly Weather Review Book Review:

Departments of Commerce Justice and State the Judiciary and Related Agencies Appropriations for 1999 Justification of the budget estimates Department of Commerce

Departments of Commerce  Justice  and State  the Judiciary  and Related Agencies Appropriations for 1999  Justification of the budget estimates  Department of Commerce
Author: United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations. Subcommittee on the Departments of Commerce, Justice, and State, the Judiciary, and Related Agencies
Publsiher: Unknown
Total Pages: 135
Release: 1998
ISBN 10: 1928374650XXX
ISBN 13: LOC:00120784729
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Departments of Commerce Justice and State the Judiciary and Related Agencies Appropriations for 1999 Justification of the budget estimates Department of Commerce Book Review:

The Value of the Weather

The Value of the Weather
Author: W. J. Maunder
Publsiher: Routledge
Total Pages: 420
Release: 2019-11-14
ISBN 10: 100069271X
ISBN 13: 9781000692716
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

The Value of the Weather Book Review:

Originally published in 1970, this book brings together the most significant and pertinent associations between man’s economic and social activities, and the variations in the atmospheric environment. Particular emphasis is placed on economic activities and the weather, economic analysis of weather and the benefits and costs of weather knowledge. In addition, some of the sociological, physiological, political, planning and legal aspects of atmospheric resources are discussed.

Departments of Commerce Justice and State the Judiciary and Related Agencies Appropriations for 1999

Departments of Commerce  Justice  and State  the Judiciary  and Related Agencies Appropriations for 1999
Author: United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations. Subcommittee on the Departments of Commerce, Justice, and State, the Judiciary, and Related Agencies
Publsiher: Unknown
Total Pages: 135
Release: 1998
ISBN 10: 1928374650XXX
ISBN 13: UCBK:C059132482
Language: EN, FR, DE, ES & NL

Departments of Commerce Justice and State the Judiciary and Related Agencies Appropriations for 1999 Book Review: